站内查询
您现在的位置是:主页 > 美高梅国际app > 可惜了!2019年广东GDP预计低于万亿美元,未超过韩国、俄罗斯
可惜了!2019年广东GDP预计低于万亿美元,未超过韩国、俄罗斯
2020-01-08 00:13  www.welcome2asia.com

从当前公开的部分经济数据来看,2019年广东省经济继续保持平稳增长。其中,前11个月,广东实现社会消费品零售总额亿元,同比增长%;前11个月,广东规模以上民营工业企业实现增加值亿元,同比增长%。

From the current public part of the economic data, Guangdong Province's economy continued to maintain steady growth in 2019. Among them, in the first 11 months, Guangdong achieved a total retail sales of consumer goods of 100 million yuan, an increase of% over the same period last year; in the first 11 months, the added value of private industrial enterprises above Guangdong scale was 100 million yuan, an increase of% over the same period last year.

前11个月,广东完成固定资产投资同比增长%,连续17个月保持两位数增长;前10个月,广东规模以上服务业实现营业收入亿元,增长%……。由此可见,2019年全年,广东省的经济增长依然不会太低。

In the first 11 months, Guangdong completed a year-on-year increase of% in fixed assets investment, and maintained double-digit growth for 17 consecutive months. In the first 10 months, Guangdong's service sector over the scale achieved revenue of 100 million yuan, up %…… 。 Thus, Guangdong's economic growth will still not be too low throughout 2019.

在2019年11月,国家统计局公布了“全国第四次经济普查”的结果,将2018年中国的GDP提升到919281亿元人民币,上调了18972亿元,增幅为%。但可惜的是,并未同时公布各省市的GDP上调情况。

In November 2019, the National Bureau of Statistics released the results of the fourth National Economic Census, boosting China's GDP in 2018 to 91928.1 billion yuan, an increase of 1897.2 billion yuan, or%. Unfortunately, there are no simultaneous increases in GDP across the provinces and municipalities.

我们假设,广东省的经济上调比例与全国大体一致,即也上调%,那2018年广东省的新GDP就是在旧GDP基础之上增加%——由初值的97278亿元人民币,上升为99320亿元人民币。

We assume that the rate of economic growth in Guangdong is roughly the same as that in the country, i.e., up%, and that in 2018 the province's new GDP was increased by% on top of its old GDP – up from Rmb972.78bn to Rmb9932bn from its initial value.

按照2019年前三季度经济实际增速(%)、名义增速(%)推算,2019年全年广东省的名义GDP约为108538亿元人民币(万亿元人民币)——按照2019年全年人民币与美元的平均汇率折算约为万亿美元。

Based on real (%) and nominal (%) growth in the first three quarters of 2019, Guangdong's nominal GDP for the full year of 2019 is about Rmb10,835.3 billion (trillion yuan)– translated at an average exchange rate of about $trillion for the full year of 2019 against the dollar.

按照IMF的预测,2019年全年,俄罗斯的GDP预计为万亿美元,继续在全球排在第11名;按IMF的预测,在2019年韩国以万亿美元——仅仅比俄罗斯低100亿美元左右,排在全球第12名。

For the full year of 2019, Russia's GDP is expected to be $UStrillion, continuing to rank 11th globally, according to the IMF's forecast, and South Korea at $UStrillion in 2019- only about $US10 billion lower than Russia, ranking 12th globally, according to the IMF.

按此推算,2019年中国广东省的GDP要再次低于韩国、俄罗斯,未能实现赶超。但差距不大,预计这个追赶任务要延迟到2020年才能实现了。

According to this calculation, China's Guangdong province's GDP in 2019 will again be lower than that of South Korea and Russia, failing to catch up. But the gap is small and the catch-up is expected to be delayed until 2020.

虽然经济总量,广东省在2019年仍未实现赶超,排序是俄罗斯、韩国、广东省,但人均GDP的排序却正好相反——是韩国、广东省、俄罗斯。数据显示,在2018年的时候,韩国的人均GDP就超过了万美元。

While Guangdong's economy has yet to catch up in 2019, ranking Russia, South Korea, and Guangdong provinces, per capita GDP ranks the opposite – South Korea, Guangdong, and Russia. South Korea's GDP per capita exceeded $10,000 in 2018, according to the data.

俄罗斯在2018年的人均GDP是万美元。2019年由于卢布贬值,其人均GDP预计要略微下降为万美元左右。咱们中国的广东省在2018年的时候,人均GDP就超过了万美元,预计今年不低于万美元。

Russia's per capita GDP in 2018 is $10,000. Per capita GDP is expected to fall slightly to around $10,000 in 2019 as the ruble depreciates. China's Guangdong Province in 2018, per capita GDP exceeded $10,000, is expected to be no less than $10,000 this year.